Thursday, February 19, 2015

A few loose ends about Debaltsevo

"Dragon_First_1" has posted a detailed analysis of the forces which have actually succeeded in getting out of the Debaltsevo Cauldron.  The original Russian text is here:

http://dragon-first-1.livejournal.com/22839.html

The Google machine translation is here:

https://translate.google.com/translate?sl=ru&tl=en&js=y&prev=_t&hl=en&ie=UTF-8&u=http%3A%2F%2Fdragon-first-1.livejournal.com%2F22839.html&edit-text=

Novorussian sources estimate the number of killed junta forces at about 3'500.

As for Poroshenko, apparently "buoyed" by the recent "victory" of his forces, he is now asking for UN peacekeepers.  Peacekeepers serve two functions: the main one, to keep the peace, but also a 2nd much less advertised one: to keep a line of contact in place.  So translated from "diplomatise" into English, Poroshenko is now asking for UN help to keep the line of contact were it currently is.  To fully measure his distress and panic, consider that putting down a line of peacekeepers would also nullify (at least in theory) any possibility for the Kiev junta to attack Novorussia again.  So in essence, Poroshenko is now willing to give up Novorussia in exchange for a guarantee that the Novorussians will not push further.

This is all purely theoretical.  In reality, the AngloZionist and the Croats did attack the UN Protected Areas in Croatia and ethnically cleanse them from Serbs (the local UN battalion commanders got a direct order from the attacking forces to step aside and not move; they complied).

In an ominous sign for the junta, Russia has rejected the Ukrainian idea.

As for the junta, out of rage and spite, they have cut off energy supplies to Novorussia.  The Kremlin and Gazprom are now working on an emergency plan to provide Russian energy.

The Saker